495 products in Books, Music, Movies & TV

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST  “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

In the beginning, there was Menger. It was his Principles of Economics that reformulated — and really rescued — economic science from the theoretical errors of the old classical school.Menger set out to elucidate the precise nature of economic value, and to root economics firmly in the real-world actions of individual human beings. In Principles of Economics, he advances the theory that the marginal utility of goods is the source of their value, rather than the labor inputs that went into making them. The implication of this theory is that the individual mind is the source of economic value — a point that touched off the marginalist revolution and started a departure from the flawed classical view of economics.For this reason, Carl Menger (1840–1921) is considered to be the founder of the Austrian School of economics. Principles of Economics is the book that Ludwig von Mises said turned him into a real economist. What's striking is how, nearly a century and a half later, the book still retains the incredible power of both its prose and its relentless logic.The Mises Institute's new edition features a new foreword by Peter G. Klein, which summarizes Menger's contribution and places him in the history of ideas. Klein also explains Menger's continued relevance in present times. F.A. Hayek contributes the introduction.Economics students still say that it is the best introduction to economic logic ever written. The book also deserves the status of a seminal contribution to science in general. Truly, no one can claim to be well read in economics without having mastered Menger's argument.To search for Mises Institute titles, enter a keyword and LvMI (short for Ludwig von Mises Institute); e.g., Depression LvMI

Immerse yourself in this meticulously crafted edition of the "Ethiopian Bible in English 88 Books" a comprehensive compilation that opens doors to the profound wisdom and spiritual heritage of Ethiopia. Discover the richness of the Ethiopian Bible in English Complete which includes the Apocrypha Complete, Psalms, Enoch, and the Lost Books of The Bible, allowing exploration of ancient texts omitted from standard editions, providing profound insights into Ethiopian religious tradition. Delve into the poetic beauty and spiritual depth with this unique edition offering for the first time in English access to all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible: * Apocrypha complete: Esdras (III and IV), Tobit, Judith, Additions to the book of Esther, Wisdom of Solomon, Prologue to Wisdom of Jesus Son of Sirach, Baruch, Letter of Jeremiah, Prayer of Azariah, Susanna, Bel and the Dragon, Prayer of Manasseh, 1, 2 and 3 Meqabyan. * Old Testament: Genesis, Exodus, Leviticus, Numbers, Deuteronomy, Joshua, Judges, Ruth, 1 Samuel (I Kingdoms), 2 Samuel (II Kingdoms), 1 Kings (III Kingdoms), 2 Kings (IV Kingdoms), Chronicles 1 and 2, Jubilees, Enoch, Ezra (I Ezra), Nehemiah (II Ezra), Esther, Job, Psalms, Psalms 151, Proverbs Messale and Tagsas, Ecclesiastes, Song of Solomon, Isaiah, Jeremiah, Lamentations, Ezekiel, Daniel, Hosea, Joel, Amos, Obadiah, Jonah, Micah, Nahum, Habakkuk, Zephaniah, Haggai, Zechariah, Malachi. * New Testament: Matthew, Mark, Luke, John, Acts, Romans, Corinthians 1 ad 2, Galatians, Ephesians, Philippians, Colossians, Thessalonians 1 and 2, Timothy 1 and 2, Titus, Philemon, Hebrews, James, Peter 1 and 2, John 1, 2 and 3, Jude, Revelation, The First Epistle of Clement, The Second Epistle of Clement and The Book of Adam and Eve. Why Choose This Book? * Authentic translations in English ensuring the preservation of the original texts' integrity and nuance. * Easy-to-read font/typeface enhances readability for effortless immersion in the scriptures. * Enjoy a comprehensive collection encompassing all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible, offering an immersive reading experience. Embark on a journey of spiritual discovery and scholarly exploration, enhance your understanding of ancient scripture, delve into profound wisdom, and experience the richness of Ethiopian religious heritage. Purchase your copy now and receive it comfortably at home. Your spiritual journey awaits!

- 6-channel Analog Mixer with 2 Microphone Preamps - 4 Dedicated Stereo Line Channels - Digital Effects - EQ

No description available.

- The information below is per-pack only - Includes 3 individually wrapped sets - Ernie Ball Slinkys are played by legends around the world including Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton, and more - One of the original Slinky gauges, Super Slinky has remained one of the most popular electric guitar strings for decades - Element Shield Packaging prolongs string life and keeps strings as fresh as the day they were made - Bright, balanced tone

Color: Super (9-42)   

Hoy en día todos están listos para criticarte, etiquetarte y juzgarte si te equivocas, pero cuando alguien pide ayuda… nada. Tú, en realidad, solo necesitas hablar y desahogarte con alguien que te entienda, que no te juzgue, con alguien con quien puedas ser tú mismo/a al 100%. Necesitas a alguien con quien compartir tus pensamientos e ideas, sintiéndote libre, sin ansias o preocupaciones. Este libro, hecho de simples páginas de papel, va a ser capaz de ayudarte. Te darà la posibilidad de hablar, de liberarte de todos esos pensamientos de tu cabeza, de desahogarte y de ser, finalmente, tú mismo/a. Disfruta de cada palabra de estas páginas, disfruta de poder responder a estas preguntas y de expresar tus ideas sin tener que preocuparte de lo que piensen los demás. Estas páginas te ayudarán a conocerte, a descubrirte a tí mismo/a y a expresarte sin límites. Sé tú mismo/a y prepárate para ser sincero/a contigo.

- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - El calibre 12-56 de las Not Even Slinky es óptimo para desafinar. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.

Color: Not Even (12-56)    Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete

- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - Las Mega Slinky se parecen a nuestro famoso juego Power Slinky pero con un pelín menos de tensión en las cuerdas más altas. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.

Color: Mega (10.5-48)    Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete

- PRESENTAMOS LOS SONY WH-CH720N: Impulsados por el Procesador Integrado V1 de nuestros galardonados WH-1000XM5, estos auriculares inalámbricos con Noise Cancelling ofrecen un sonido excelente - CANCELACIÓN DE RUIDO AVANZADA Y MODO SONIDO AMBIENTE: La tecnología Dual Noise Sensor cancela el ruido no deseado. Cambia al modo Sonido Ambiente para estar conectado a tu entorno - AUDIO DE ALTA CALIDAD:Voces naturales, sonido claro y graves impresionantes. DSEE mejora cada pista, y puedes usar el ecualizador de 5 bandas en la app Sony | Sound Connect para personalizar - DISEÑO LIGERO: Con solo 192 g, los WH-CH720N son los auriculares inalámbricos con Noise Cancelling más ligeros de Sony. Elige entre Negro, Blanco, Azul o Rosa para tu estilo - LLAMADAS NÍTIDAS: Los micrófonos con forma de haz y la tecnología Precise Voice Pickup aseguran que se te escuche con claridad. Con Conexión Multipunto, empareja dos dispositivos Bluetooth a la vez - INTUITIVO E INTELIGENTE: Controla los WH-CH720N con los botones en los auriculares o la app Sony | Sound Connect. Swift Pair y Fast Pair facilitan enlazar tus dispositivos

Color: Negro

¿Qué es la renta básica? ¿Por qué la han defendido tanto liberales como socialdemócratas, comunistas, feministas o ecologistas? ¿Es eficiente desde el punto de vista del crecimiento económico y de la creación de empleo? Y sobre todo: ¿es justa? Éstas son algunas de las preguntas a las que da respuesta Juan Ramón Rallo en Contra la renta básica, un libro que aborda la que probablemente termine siendo la política redistributiva más importante del siglo XXI. En contra de lo que suele pensarse, la principal razón por la que el autor rechaza la renta básica no es económica, sino ética: la solidaridad es un fin muy loable, pero no puede ser impuesta por la fuerza. «No es el fin el que justifica los medios, sino que son los medios los que permiten justificar los fines»: también en el caso de la redistribución estatal de la renta. Según demuestra Rallo analizando críticamente las principales corrientes filosóficas contemporáneas como la socialdemocracia, el republicanismo, el comunismo, el utilitarismo, el feminismo o el ecologismo, la redistribución coactiva de la renta no puede justificarse desde un punto de vista ético: forzar a una persona a subordinar sus proyectos vitales a los proyectos vitales de los demás es injusto, intolerante y contrario a las bases sociales de la convivencia. De ahí que sólo el liberalismo proporcione un marco de justicia que permite el desarrollo moral de cada individuo sin interferir violentamente sobre el desarrollo moral del resto de individuos. Y de ahí que la renta básica, al vulnerar la mucho más básica libertad personal, sólo nos aleje de ese ideal de una sociedad genuinamente voluntaria y cooperativa. En el presente ensayo no sólo encontrará la crítica más completa y sistemática a la redistribución coactiva de la renta por parte del Estado, sino también todo un tratado de filosofía política dirigido a reivindicar y defender el liberalismo como una realista utopía integral e integradora frente a sus principales alternativas ideológicas.

Want to join the technological revolution that’s taking the world of finance by storm? Mastering Bitcoin is your guide through the seemingly complex world of bitcoin, providing the requisite knowledge to help you participate in the internet of money. Whether you’re building the next killer app, investing in a startup, or simply curious about the technology, this practical book is essential reading. Bitcoin, the first successful decentralized digital currency, is still in its infancy and it’s already spawned a multi-billion dollar global economy. This economy is open to anyone with the knowledge and passion to participate. Mastering Bitcoin provides you with the knowledge you need (passion not included). This book includes: * A broad introduction to bitcoin—ideal for non-technical users, investors, and business executives * An explanation of the technical foundations of bitcoin and cryptographic currencies for developers, engineers, and software and systems architects * Details of the bitcoin decentralized network, peer-to-peer architecture, transaction lifecycle, and security principles * Offshoots of the bitcoin and blockchain inventions, including alternative chains, currencies, and applications * User stories, analogies, examples, and code snippets illustrating key technical concepts