415 products in Books, Music, Movies & TV

No description available.

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS: Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year “[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” –Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink “The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade.” –Maggie Mahar, author of Bull! A History of the Boom, 1982—1999 “Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.” –Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving “Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould.” –Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate “We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.” –Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance “Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.” –National Review

- Plastic Hook Clamp for Moving Head Light, Par Light, Spotlight, M10 Threaded Bolt - Plastic Truss Clamps, Max Load 33 lbs, Fits 3 Tube OD: 1", 1-1/2", 2" ( F34 ) - Simple & Fast To Mount, Detach And Reposition Lights - Completely Wrap Around Truss For Added Security And Stability - Using In Stage, DJ, Bar, Pub, Event, Theatre, Disco

Want a comfortable way to talk with your kids about pornography? This newly revised edition of the original bestseller from Defend Young Minds makes that daunting discussion easy! Good Pictures Bad Pictures is a read-aloud story about a mom and dad who explain what pornography is, why it’s dangerous, and how to reject it. Featuring easy-to-understand science and simple analogies, this internationally-acclaimed book engages young kids to porn-proof their own brains. With Good Pictures Bad Pictures, your child will never be caught off guard by disturbing videos or peer pressure! The 5-point CAN DO Plan teaches kids exactly what to do to protect their young minds when they see pornography. “I am so grateful for this book! It was a great way to talk to my children about pornography without that awkward, uncomfortable feeling.” Lisa Parents don’t need to wonder what to say--simply read Good Pictures Bad Pictures to your child and move forward with confidence! You can even use this book before beginning the sex talks! Check out these new features in the second edition."Let's Talk!" discussion questions at the end of each chapter help kids deepen their understanding so they’ll be even more prepared to reject pornography.All new Tips for Parents and Caregivers section offers practical advice for raising porn-proof kids in the digital age..The most up-to-date science provides kids with even more powerful arguments against pornography.A beautifully redesigned interior makes it easier and more fun to read!

Anarchism has been both a vision of a peaceful, cooperative society—and an ideology of revolutionary terror. Since the term itself—anarchism—is a negation, there is a great deal of disagreement on what the positive alternative would look like. The black flag comes in many colors.The Anarchist Handbook is an opportunity for all these many varied voices to speak for themselves, from across the decades. These were human beings who saw things differently from their fellow men. They fought and they loved. They lived and they died. They disagreed on much, but they all shared one vision: Freedom.

- TRUSTED STUDIO-QUALITY SOUND: True studio sound for music production, gaming, movies, streaming, and everyday audio. Sold as a complete stereo pair. - POWERFUL, DISTORTION-FREE SOUND: 50 watts of built-in amplification drives clear, dynamic sound at any volume — powerful enough to fill the room, clean enough to hear every detail. - ACCURATE, POWERFUL SOUND: 3.5” woven-composite woofers deliver deeper, tighter bass while 1” silk-dome tweeters smooth out harshness for clear, balanced highs across the full range (80 Hz–20 kHz). - DIAL IN PERFECT SOUND IN ANY ROOM: Built-in high- and low-frequency acoustic tuning controls let you tailor the sound to your space — no treatment or extra gear needed to get clear, balanced audio anywhere. - CONNECTS TO EVERYTHING ON YOUR DESK: Balanced TRS, RCA, and a front-panel aux input plug straight into your computer, audio interface, mixer, game console, phone, or turntable — plus a front headphone jack for private listening.

Size: 3.5"    Color: White

Economist Bryan Caplan makes a bold case for unrestricted immigration in this fact-filled graphic nonfiction. American policy-makers have long been locked in a heated battle over whether, how many, and what kind of immigrants to allow to live and work in the country. Those in favor of welcoming more immigrants often cite humanitarian reasons, while those in favor of more restrictive laws argue the need to protect native citizens. But economist Bryan Caplan adds a new, compelling perspective to the immigration debate: He argues that opening all borders could eliminate absolute poverty worldwide and usher in a booming worldwide economy―greatly benefiting humanity. With a clear and conversational tone, exhaustive research, and vibrant illustrations by Zach Weinersmith, Open Borders makes the case for unrestricted immigration easy to follow and hard to deny.

- HONEST. Eris 4.5BT near field studio monitors deliver studio-quality, accurate sound perfect for music production, hi-fi audio listening, or multimedia reference. - EXPRESSIVE. Clear, accurate audio with a big low end — Eris 4.5BT's woven-composite woofers’ weave and nature result in tight bass that you can feel, as well as cleaner overall sound. - POWERFUL. Compact speakers that pack a punch — 50 Watts of Class AB dual amplification (25W per side) provide all the volume and loudness you want without sacrificing tonal balance or audio clarity. - BLUETOOTH 5.0 WIRELESS CONNECTIVITY. Ultra-reliable Bluetooth 5.0 delivers seamless integration with your other devices while flexible wired connection options ensure easy compatibility with virtually any monitoring setup – so you can plug in, pair up, and get to work without missing a beat. - ULTRA-WIDE LISTENING SWEET SPOT. The natural high-frequency response of the 1-inch low-mass, silk-dome transducers (tweeters) provide superior stereo imaging from nearly any listening angle. - ALL THE CONNECTIONS YOU NEED. ¼-inch TRS balanced inputs on the back panel for professional audio devices, unbalanced RCA inputs for consumer electronics, plus a convenient front-panel ⅛-inch TRS stereo aux input for your phone. - PRECISION-TUNE TO YOUR ROOM. High- and low-frequency tuning controls allow you to customize your audio output for your ears, room size, and speaker orientation. Whether on a desk, bookshelf, or next to a turntable or record player, Eris 3.5BT's produce clear, room-filling sound. - QUICK-SWITCH TO HEADPHONES. The easy-access front panel headphone output and built-in headphone amplifier allow for plug-and-play headphone media reference when needed. - ADD MORE LOW END. The 50W, 8-inch companion Eris Sub 8BT studio subwoofer delivers a massive low-frequency boost and Bluetooth connectivity to your Eris 4.5BT’s, creating a powerful 2.1 speaker system. - POWER SAVER MODE. Power-saving mode auto engages after 40 minutes of idle time.

Size: 4.5" Bluetooth    Color: White

Delayed after school by the wicked assistant principal, Mister Tutten, Fifi and Roger must cut through Finney's Lot to reach Adams Playground before dark. Little do they know that the encrypted emerald block that trips up Fifi is the key to a playground far more fantastic than anything they could imagine, full of possibilities - and danger - for the future of all kids.

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST  “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

Immerse yourself in this meticulously crafted edition of the "Ethiopian Bible in English 88 Books" a comprehensive compilation that opens doors to the profound wisdom and spiritual heritage of Ethiopia. Discover the richness of the Ethiopian Bible in English Complete which includes the Apocrypha Complete, Psalms, Enoch, and the Lost Books of The Bible, allowing exploration of ancient texts omitted from standard editions, providing profound insights into Ethiopian religious tradition. Delve into the poetic beauty and spiritual depth with this unique edition offering for the first time in English access to all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible: * Apocrypha complete: Esdras (III and IV), Tobit, Judith, Additions to the book of Esther, Wisdom of Solomon, Prologue to Wisdom of Jesus Son of Sirach, Baruch, Letter of Jeremiah, Prayer of Azariah, Susanna, Bel and the Dragon, Prayer of Manasseh, 1, 2 and 3 Meqabyan. * Old Testament: Genesis, Exodus, Leviticus, Numbers, Deuteronomy, Joshua, Judges, Ruth, 1 Samuel (I Kingdoms), 2 Samuel (II Kingdoms), 1 Kings (III Kingdoms), 2 Kings (IV Kingdoms), Chronicles 1 and 2, Jubilees, Enoch, Ezra (I Ezra), Nehemiah (II Ezra), Esther, Job, Psalms, Psalms 151, Proverbs Messale and Tagsas, Ecclesiastes, Song of Solomon, Isaiah, Jeremiah, Lamentations, Ezekiel, Daniel, Hosea, Joel, Amos, Obadiah, Jonah, Micah, Nahum, Habakkuk, Zephaniah, Haggai, Zechariah, Malachi. * New Testament: Matthew, Mark, Luke, John, Acts, Romans, Corinthians 1 ad 2, Galatians, Ephesians, Philippians, Colossians, Thessalonians 1 and 2, Timothy 1 and 2, Titus, Philemon, Hebrews, James, Peter 1 and 2, John 1, 2 and 3, Jude, Revelation, The First Epistle of Clement, The Second Epistle of Clement and The Book of Adam and Eve. Why Choose This Book? * Authentic translations in English ensuring the preservation of the original texts' integrity and nuance. * Easy-to-read font/typeface enhances readability for effortless immersion in the scriptures. * Enjoy a comprehensive collection encompassing all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible, offering an immersive reading experience. Embark on a journey of spiritual discovery and scholarly exploration, enhance your understanding of ancient scripture, delve into profound wisdom, and experience the richness of Ethiopian religious heritage. Purchase your copy now and receive it comfortably at home. Your spiritual journey awaits!

- 【Whole Separate Bags Designed】Whole divider that can be taken out, Put it in, 18 layers for All kinds of Cables& Accessories. Double compartment mesh pocket on the cover, Another 2 big zipper pocket outside, are used to hold small items of any size - 【Heavy Duty Material】Made by Nylon, With Pearl cotton Around. Anti-fall, Scratch-resistant and Durable, Good Protection. Strong webbed handles, Padded shoulder strap，Easy to carry everywhere.It is also sturdy, has a comfortable carry handle and a shoulder strap which means you could carry it on your shoulder and take another item at the same time if you wished - 【Great Organizer】Extra Large Travel Gig Band Cable File Bag:30"x11"x14.5".You can keep all the cables seperate for quicker set up and break down times and this bag is perfect for that.This is probably a great bag to use for small accessory cables and effect boxes, Also for mic cables or reasonable length power cables - 【Multi Function】It can help you cut gig setup and teardown time a lot. Having all my cables in exactly the right place and the same place each time, it will be much faster setup and teardown. and it can help you reduce another bag or any other accessaories - 【For Travel】Travel with Ease and Style: This travel file holder will keep all your important things organized, in one place and ready to go. Great for the office to keep everything within reach

Color: Black-Grey