Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS: Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year “[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” –Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink “The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade.” –Maggie Mahar, author of Bull! A History of the Boom, 1982—1999 “Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.” –Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving “Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould.” –Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate “We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.” –Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance “Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.” –National Review
- PRESENTAMOS LOS SONY WH-CH720N: Impulsados por el Procesador Integrado V1 de nuestros galardonados WH-1000XM5, estos auriculares inalámbricos con Noise Cancelling ofrecen un sonido excelente - CANCELACIÓN DE RUIDO AVANZADA Y MODO SONIDO AMBIENTE: La tecnología Dual Noise Sensor cancela el ruido no deseado. Cambia al modo Sonido Ambiente para estar conectado a tu entorno - AUDIO DE ALTA CALIDAD:Voces naturales, sonido claro y graves impresionantes. DSEE mejora cada pista, y puedes usar el ecualizador de 5 bandas en la app Sony | Sound Connect para personalizar - DISEÑO LIGERO: Con solo 192 g, los WH-CH720N son los auriculares inalámbricos con Noise Cancelling más ligeros de Sony. Elige entre Negro, Blanco, Azul o Rosa para tu estilo - GRAN BATERÍA: Con 50 h de batería (NC desactivado), mantente inmerso en tu música durante todo el día. La carga rápida proporciona hasta 60 min de reproducción con solo 3 min de carga - LLAMADAS NÍTIDAS: Los micrófonos con forma de haz y la tecnología Precise Voice Pickup aseguran que se te escuche con claridad. Con Conexión Multipunto, empareja dos dispositivos Bluetooth a la vez - INTUITIVO E INTELIGENTE: Controla los WH-CH720N con los botones en los auriculares o la app Sony | Sound Connect. Swift Pair y Fast Pair facilitan enlazar tus dispositivos
Color: Negro
3 Years - Daisy Robin & Me Starter Green (pack)
Anarchism has been both a vision of a peaceful, cooperative society—and an ideology of revolutionary terror. Since the term itself—anarchism—is a negation, there is a great deal of disagreement on what the positive alternative would look like. The black flag comes in many colors.The Anarchist Handbook is an opportunity for all these many varied voices to speak for themselves, from across the decades. These were human beings who saw things differently from their fellow men. They fought and they loved. They lived and they died. They disagreed on much, but they all shared one vision: Freedom.
Do you think you know something about Bitcoin and Austrian Economics? If so you may be ready for Cryptoeconomics. This is not a work for the uninitiated. The content is dense – it does not repeat itself. It is not a contribution to the echo chamber, will not show you how to set up a wallet, the future price, or what to do. Cryptoeconomics applies rational economic principles to Bitcoin, demonstrating flaws and unnecessary complexities in them, and in common understandings of Bitcoin. It will improve your understanding of both. Bitcoin requires a new, rigorous, and comprehensive discipline. This is it. Bitcoin is something new. It seems to defy understanding. Has there ever been a fixed supply money? Is there another case of production cost varying directly with product price? Is there anything else with a competitive yet fixed rate of transactability? To see past the hype, understand the value proposition, security model, and economic behavior, this may be your only source. Bitcoin is economics, technology, and security. Without incorporating all of these aspects, errors will be made. Economists, technologists, security experts, and even numerologists have attempted to explain it. Each brings a limited perspective, failing to incorporate essential aspects. The author found himself uniquely qualified to integrate them. His work in Bitcoin began with a hardware wallet. He spent a year analyzing threats, working with electronics design, hardware exploitation, and state surveillance experts. He chose the Libbitcoin software library, as Satoshi’s prototype was not factored for development and was largely financed by the Bitcoin Foundation, a corporate consortium. He later dedicated himself to Libbitcoin, eventually writing or editing all of its ~500,000 lines of code. Few have comparable experience with such a comprehensive Bitcoin stack. As a combat-experienced fighter pilot in the U.S. Navy he experienced state threats. He became a highly-qualified Strike Fighter Tactics Instructor, in which his primary role was tactics analysis and threat presentation. He also advised for the Navy on the Strike Fighter Training System network, Joint Strike Fighter, early GPS weapons, and F/A-18 systems. His understanding of the physical nature of all security was enhanced by decades of training in Japanese martial arts, achieving black belt rankings in five disciplines. His degree and experience in computer science mixed with extensive business experience, founding several companies. He has worked at IBM and as a Principle Architect at Microsoft, two of the world’s largest companies. The latter purchased his first startup, and his second was acquired by Veritas Capital. He was awarded three related U.S. patents. Eventually he became an angel investor, sharing his experience with other entrepreneurs. As CTO of his first company he published three computer security advisories via Computer Emergency Response Team. Each was derived entirely from his reading of user documentation. Later he earned a seat on the DHS Open Vulnerability Assessment Language advisory board for his work on software patching. In recent years he uncovered material security flaws in each of the first three iterations of a popular “secure element” hardware wallet, again from review of user documentation. Thirty years of self-study in free market economics was reinforced by extensive global travel. In visiting over 80 countries he has interacted with people on five continents. Still often traveling on a motorcycle with only a shoulder bag, he obtains intimate understanding of global economic realities. From Zimbabwean black market currency traders, to Tanzanian coffee pickers, Venezuelan refugees, Mongolian shepherds, Okinawan jazz musicians, Lao monks, etc. – the world is not as often presented. The ability to integrate these diverse and relevant experiences led to Cryptoeconomics. This is your next stop.
Høsten 2008 holdt deler av det internasjonale finansmarkedet på å kollapse etter en enorm gjeldsboble forårsaket av det tradisjonelle bank- og finanssystemet. Omtrent på samme tidspunkt som det tradisjonelle systemet brukte skattebetalernes penger på å kjøpe finansforetakene fri fra deres egen hensynsløshet – holder en mystisk skikkelse under pseudonymet Satoshi Nakamoto på å utvikle et pengesystem som skal revolusjonere måten penger fungerer på. Den 3. januar, 2009 skrus Bitcoin-nettverket på – og over ti år senere fortsetter nettverket å operere sømløst tross gjentatte erklæringer om at Bitcoin-boblen har sprukket. På tross av alle medieoppslag, er det stadig flere som fatter interesse for Bitcoin som fenomen - og nettverket er sterkere enn noen gang før. Hvorfor eksisterer Bitcoin fremdeles? Og hvorfor kommer Bitcoin tilbake hver gang «boblen» sprekker? Et nødvendig utgangspunkt for å forstå Bitcoin - er å forstå det som penger, og skal vi forstå Bitcoin som penger - må vi forstå hva penger er for noe. I denne boken gir forfatteren en grunnleggende introduksjon til hva penger er, hvilke funksjoner penger har, og et kort innblikk i pengenes evolusjon. Ved å kategorisere Bitcoin som penger vil mange av diskusjonene rundt Bitcoin også bli tydeligere for deg som leser. Du vil få et innblikk i hva Bitcoin er - og hvilke problemer det kan bidra til å løse. «Bitcoin er harde penger» er en introduksjonsbok til deg som har fattet interesse for Bitcoin, og som er klar for en videre reise ned i kaninhullet. Utover å forklare hva Bitcoin er, vil du som leser få et innblikk i de ideologiske idéene som Bitcoin bygger på. I en verden som preges av rekordhøy inflasjon og innskrenking av personlig frihet – har behovet for et frivillig alternativ aldri vært tydeligere. Vi ønsker deg en god reise.
- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - Las Extra Slinky ofrecen una tensión extraligera para tocar de forma rápida y sencilla por todo el diapasón. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.
Color: Extra (8-38) Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete
- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - Uno de los calibres originales Slinky, las Super Slinky se han mantenido como una de las cuerdas para guitarra eléctrica más famosas durante décadas. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.
Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete
MÁS DE 500.000 EJEMPLARES VENDIDOS EN ESPAÑA. MÁS DE 20 MILLONES DE EJEMPLARES VENDIDOS EN TODO EL MUNDO. «Sumamente práctico y útil.» MARK MANSON, autor de El sutil arte de que (casi todo) te importe una mi*rda «Paso a paso, cambiará tu rutina.» Financial Times A menudo pensamos que para cambiar de vida tenemos que pensar en hacer cambios grandes. Nada más lejos de la realidad. Según el reconocido experto en hábitos James Clear, el cambio real proviene del resultado de cientos de pequeñas decisiones: hacer dos flexiones al día, levantarse cinco minutos antes o hacer una corta llamada telefónica. Clear llama a estas decisiones “hábitos atómicos”: tan pequeños como una partícula, pero tan poderosos como un tsunami. En este libro innovador nos revela exactamente cómo esos cambios minúsculos pueden crecer hasta llegar a cambiar nuestra carrera profesional, nuestras relaciones y todos los aspectos de nuestra vida. «De mis libros favoritos de todos los tiempos.» ARIANNA HUFFINGTON, fundadora de The Huffington Post «Un discurso que se apoya en bases científicas, manual de instrucciones para implantar cambios a nuestro favor.» IMA SANCHÍS, La Vanguardia «Te harás fan.» CECILIA MÚZQUIZ, directora de Cosmopolitan «Demuestra que cualquier meta está al alcance de la mano, siempre y cuando empecemos desde lo más simple.» ABC Bienestar «Profundiza en todos aquellos aspectos necesarios para llevar una vida ordenada, productiva y orientada a disfrutar de los procesos, no solo de los resultados.»Xataka
Ana Obregón, una de las mujeres más queridas y reconocidas de nuestro país, nos ofrece un desgarrador testimonio sobre la pérdida de su hijo Aless Lequio, tras una larga y dura enfermedad. El corazón de este libro es El chico de las musarañas, el texto que Aless empezó a escribir cuando le diagnosticaron cáncer. Un relato sincero, ácido, irónico, vibrante, con un sentido del humor único, que no pudo terminar, y que nos descubre el talento, el carisma y la personalidad de un joven que, sin duda, hubiera triunfado como escritor. A través de estas páginas, Ana se desnuda en un viaje de esperanza, lucha y fuerza, donde muestra un huracán de sentimientos y emociones sin filtro, en el que sumerge al lector en una experiencia inolvidable. La prueba de amor más bonita de una madre, una narración conmovedora, que sobrecogerá y en más de una ocasión despertará una sonrisa cómplice.
Hoy en día todos están listos para criticarte, etiquetarte y juzgarte si te equivocas, pero cuando alguien pide ayuda… nada. Tú, en realidad, solo necesitas hablar y desahogarte con alguien que te entienda, que no te juzgue, con alguien con quien puedas ser tú mismo/a al 100%. Necesitas a alguien con quien compartir tus pensamientos e ideas, sintiéndote libre, sin ansias o preocupaciones. Este libro, hecho de simples páginas de papel, va a ser capaz de ayudarte. Te darà la posibilidad de hablar, de liberarte de todos esos pensamientos de tu cabeza, de desahogarte y de ser, finalmente, tú mismo/a. Disfruta de cada palabra de estas páginas, disfruta de poder responder a estas preguntas y de expresar tus ideas sin tener que preocuparte de lo que piensen los demás. Estas páginas te ayudarán a conocerte, a descubrirte a tí mismo/a y a expresarte sin límites. Sé tú mismo/a y prepárate para ser sincero/a contigo.
- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - Las cuerdas Burly Slinky de Ernie Ball son ideales para los músicos que prefieren un juego de cuerdas más grueso para tener un tono de mayor envergadura y mayor tensión. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.
Color: Burly (11-52)