387 products in Books, Music, Movies & TV

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST  “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

- 16-Channel mixer with USB and SPX digital effects - Featuring studio-grade discrete class-A D-PRE preamps with inverted Darlington circuit - providing fat, natural sounding bass and smooth, soaring highs - 3-band EQ and high-pass filters give you maximum control and eliminate unwanted noise, resulting in a cleaner mix - 1-Knob compressors allow easy control - resulting in livelier guitars, punchier bass lines, a tighter snare and a cleaner vocal sound. - MG Series mixers feature a rugged, impact-resistant, powder-coated metal chassis

Style: USB Interface with Effects   

- EDUCATOR’S CHOICE – Designed with quick bow response and ease of use in mind, our violin strings are a unique blend of warm tone, affordability and durability making them ideal for both new and experienced student violinists. - SOLID STEEL CORE – Prelude violin strings are manufactured using a solid steel core for maximum durability and warmest sound. Available in both full and fractional sizes, the Prelude line has an option for any age student. - MADE TO LAST – Solid steel construction and uniquely-designed sealed pouches, Prelude strings have an unparalleled protection from the elements that cause corrosion and are unaffected by temperature and humidity changes. - WARM TONE: Prelude violin strings have the warmest sound available in an affordable, solid steel core string design, making it the educator's preferred choice for student strings due to their unique blend of warm tone, durability, and value. - MADE IN THE USA – All D'Addario strings are designed, engineered and manufactured in the USA to the most stringent quality controls in the industry.

Style: Light Tension    Color: 4/4 Scale

- EDUCATOR’S CHOICE – Designed with quick bow response and ease of use in mind, our violin strings are a unique blend of warm tone, affordability and durability making them ideal for both new and experienced student violinists. - SOLID STEEL CORE – Prelude violin strings are manufactured using a solid steel core for maximum durability and warmest sound. Available in both full and fractional sizes, the Prelude line has an option for any age student. - MADE TO LAST – Solid steel construction and uniquely-designed sealed pouches, Prelude strings have an unparalleled protection from the elements that cause corrosion and are unaffected by temperature and humidity changes. - WARM TONE: Prelude violin strings have the warmest sound available in an affordable, solid steel core string design, making it the educator's preferred choice for student strings due to their unique blend of warm tone, durability, and value. - MADE IN THE USA – All D'Addario strings are designed, engineered and manufactured in the USA to the most stringent quality controls in the industry.

Immerse yourself in this meticulously crafted edition of the "Ethiopian Bible in English 88 Books" a comprehensive compilation that opens doors to the profound wisdom and spiritual heritage of Ethiopia. Discover the richness of the Ethiopian Bible in English Complete which includes the Apocrypha Complete, Psalms, Enoch, and the Lost Books of The Bible, allowing exploration of ancient texts omitted from standard editions, providing profound insights into Ethiopian religious tradition. Delve into the poetic beauty and spiritual depth with this unique edition offering for the first time in English access to all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible: * Apocrypha complete: Esdras (III and IV), Tobit, Judith, Additions to the book of Esther, Wisdom of Solomon, Prologue to Wisdom of Jesus Son of Sirach, Baruch, Letter of Jeremiah, Prayer of Azariah, Susanna, Bel and the Dragon, Prayer of Manasseh, 1, 2 and 3 Meqabyan. * Old Testament: Genesis, Exodus, Leviticus, Numbers, Deuteronomy, Joshua, Judges, Ruth, 1 Samuel (I Kingdoms), 2 Samuel (II Kingdoms), 1 Kings (III Kingdoms), 2 Kings (IV Kingdoms), Chronicles 1 and 2, Jubilees, Enoch, Ezra (I Ezra), Nehemiah (II Ezra), Esther, Job, Psalms, Psalms 151, Proverbs Messale and Tagsas, Ecclesiastes, Song of Solomon, Isaiah, Jeremiah, Lamentations, Ezekiel, Daniel, Hosea, Joel, Amos, Obadiah, Jonah, Micah, Nahum, Habakkuk, Zephaniah, Haggai, Zechariah, Malachi. * New Testament: Matthew, Mark, Luke, John, Acts, Romans, Corinthians 1 ad 2, Galatians, Ephesians, Philippians, Colossians, Thessalonians 1 and 2, Timothy 1 and 2, Titus, Philemon, Hebrews, James, Peter 1 and 2, John 1, 2 and 3, Jude, Revelation, The First Epistle of Clement, The Second Epistle of Clement and The Book of Adam and Eve. Why Choose This Book? * Authentic translations in English ensuring the preservation of the original texts' integrity and nuance. * Easy-to-read font/typeface enhances readability for effortless immersion in the scriptures. * Enjoy a comprehensive collection encompassing all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible, offering an immersive reading experience. Embark on a journey of spiritual discovery and scholarly exploration, enhance your understanding of ancient scripture, delve into profound wisdom, and experience the richness of Ethiopian religious heritage. Purchase your copy now and receive it comfortably at home. Your spiritual journey awaits!

- The information below is per-pack only - IN THE BOX: 50-foot XLR male to female microphone cable for XLR-compatible PA systems, speakers, and other sound equipment - CLEAR TRANSMISSION: All-copper conductors with inner copper spiral shielding to reduce noise interference - DURABLE DESIGN: Zinc alloy 3-pin connectors with nickeling; protective metal housing and flexible 6.0mm PVC jacket - USES: Designed for studio recording and live sound

Size: 50 Feet (Pack of 2)    Style: 1-Pack

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Transform Your Life with Dale Carnegie's Timeless Classic Are you ready to unlock the secrets to personal and professional success? Dale Carnegie's bestselling masterpiece, How to Win Friends & Influence People, has been helping millions of readers worldwide for decades-and now it's your turn! This life-changing guide is packed with actionable strategies to help you: Build meaningful relationships that expand your social and professional circle. Polish your communication skills to express ideas with clarity and confidence. Gain trust and influence others without creating resentment. Overcome challenges and develop the mental strength to stay motivated. What You'll Learn Master the Art of People Skills Discover Carnegie's proven techniques to handle people with ease, make a lasting impression, and win them over to your way of thinking. From fostering friendships to becoming a respected leader, this book provides all the tools you need. Timeless Principles for Success Learn how "You can make more friends in two months by becoming interested in other people than you can in two years by trying to get other people interested in you." These principles, just as relevant today as when they were first published, will help you navigate both personal and professional settings. Achieve Your Goals with Confidence Whether it's expanding your client base, earning more, or simply feeling more accomplished, Carnegie's step-by-step approach will make success seem effortless.

- *** 1 SET OF DRUMSTICKS INCLUDED *** - ✔ ANTI-SLIP DOUBLE-GRIP HANDLES - Designed to reduce the wear and tear on the strike zone of your fitness drumsticks. Added stylish black heat shrink grip on both ends. Handle portion with color is for comfortable grip in your hands, grip in strike zone to extend the life of your eco-friendly wood drumsticks. NEVER STRIKE PATTERNED OR COLORED ENDS TOGETHER - ✔ DURABILITY - CardioStix are manufactured with strong, durable Hickory Wood. These are NOT your community low quality, plastic cardio drum sticks you see on Amazon and in your class. CardioStix are designed to last! - ✔ 30-DAY WARRANTY - We are confident our CardioStix Drumming Sticks will be the best, most fun sticks you have ever used. We are a proud, family business out of Michigan, USA!

Color: DARK WOOD #5

- Snake digital de 16 canales programables con control remoto de previos - Tecnologia Klark Teknik Supermac con integración ultranet para los sistemas de monitoreo powerplay P16 - Dimensiones: 482 x 225 x 89 mm

Nombre de estilo: S16    Configuración: Digital Stage Box

An inside look at modern open source software development and its influence on our online social world. Open source software, in which developers publish code that anyone can use, has long served as a bellwether for other online behavior. In the late 1990s, it provided an optimistic model for public collaboration, but in the last 20 years it’s shifted to solo operators who write and publish code that's consumed by millions. In Working in Public, Nadia Asparouhova takes an inside look at modern open source software development, its evolution over the last two decades, and its ramifications for an internet reorienting itself around individual creators. Asparouhova, who interviewed hundreds of developers while working to improve their experience at GitHub, argues that modern open source offers us a model through which to understand the challenges faced by online creators. She examines the trajectory of open source projects, including: * The GitHub platform for hosting and development * The structures, roles, incentives, and relationships involved in open source projects * The often-overlooked maintenance required of its creators * The costs of production that endure through an application’s lifetime. Asparouhova also scrutinizes the role of platforms like Twitter, Facebook, Twitch, YouTube, and Instagram, which reduce infrastructure and distribution costs for creators but which massively increase the scope of interactions with their audience. Open source communities are increasingly centered around the work of individual developers rather than teams. Similarly, if creators, rather than discrete communities, are going to become the epicenter of our online social systems, we need to better understand how they work—and we can do so by studying what happened to open source.

- IN THE BOX: 10-foot XLR male to female microphone cable (2-pack) for XLR-compatible PA systems, speakers, and other sound equipment - CLEAR TRANSMISSION: All-copper conductors with inner copper spiral shielding to reduce noise interference - DURABLE DESIGN: Zinc alloy 3-pin connectors with nickeling; protective metal housing and flexible 6.0mm PVC jacket - USES: Designed for studio recording and live sound

Size: 10 Feet    Style: 2-Pack