325 products in Books

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST  “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

In the beginning, there was Menger. It was his Principles of Economics that reformulated — and really rescued — economic science from the theoretical errors of the old classical school.Menger set out to elucidate the precise nature of economic value, and to root economics firmly in the real-world actions of individual human beings. In Principles of Economics, he advances the theory that the marginal utility of goods is the source of their value, rather than the labor inputs that went into making them. The implication of this theory is that the individual mind is the source of economic value — a point that touched off the marginalist revolution and started a departure from the flawed classical view of economics.For this reason, Carl Menger (1840–1921) is considered to be the founder of the Austrian School of economics. Principles of Economics is the book that Ludwig von Mises said turned him into a real economist. What's striking is how, nearly a century and a half later, the book still retains the incredible power of both its prose and its relentless logic.The Mises Institute's new edition features a new foreword by Peter G. Klein, which summarizes Menger's contribution and places him in the history of ideas. Klein also explains Menger's continued relevance in present times. F.A. Hayek contributes the introduction.Economics students still say that it is the best introduction to economic logic ever written. The book also deserves the status of a seminal contribution to science in general. Truly, no one can claim to be well read in economics without having mastered Menger's argument.To search for Mises Institute titles, enter a keyword and LvMI (short for Ludwig von Mises Institute); e.g., Depression LvMI

Young readers can’t get enough of the action-packed and side-splitting Diary of a Roblox Noob series! Set in the beloved world of Roblox, the Diary of a Roblox Noob stories take kids on a journey, along with good-hearted and hilarious Noob and a cast of wacky characters, to escape gaming-centric scenarios full of peril and thrills! A world they already love… Is your house full of chatter about Roblox games? Does your child wish for new Roblox games for every holiday? Add Roblox story books to the mix with these epic adventure stories featuring familiar Roblox games that keep kids in the world of Roblox — without a keyboard or controller. Perfect for reluctant readers… Propulsive plots and silly humor make the Diary of a Roblox Noob stories surefire page-turners. Take a break from your endless search for engaging stories for young readers and give them a series they won’t be able to put down — especially if they love chapter books like Diary of a Wimpy Kid. Perfect for holiday gifting, this boxed set contains 5 full-length Diary of a Roblox Noob story books! Spend less than you would buying each title individually — and at over 580 pages, this omnibus will keep even the most voracious reader busy! 5 ADVENTURE STORY BOOKS: 1. PIGGY: A spooky tale (perfect for Halloween!) with just the right mix of chills, humor, and - of course - adventure! 2. BEE SWARM SIMULATOR 3. MAD CITY 4. RO-GHOUL 5. CHRISTMAS SPECIAL: Noob is thrown into a race against time to save Christmas! More than 10,000 Goodreads reviewers can’t be wrong! Get your copy now, and combine reading and gaming with this immersive and exciting series! [NOT An Official Roblox Product]

Do you think you know something about Bitcoin and Austrian Economics? If so you may be ready for Cryptoeconomics. This is not a work for the uninitiated. The content is dense – it does not repeat itself. It is not a contribution to the echo chamber, will not show you how to set up a wallet, the future price, or what to do. Cryptoeconomics applies rational economic principles to Bitcoin, demonstrating flaws and unnecessary complexities in them, and in common understandings of Bitcoin. It will improve your understanding of both. Bitcoin requires a new, rigorous, and comprehensive discipline. This is it. Bitcoin is something new. It seems to defy understanding. Has there ever been a fixed supply money? Is there another case of production cost varying directly with product price? Is there anything else with a competitive yet fixed rate of transactability? To see past the hype, understand the value proposition, security model, and economic behavior, this may be your only source. Bitcoin is economics, technology, and security. Without incorporating all of these aspects, errors will be made. Economists, technologists, security experts, and even numerologists have attempted to explain it. Each brings a limited perspective, failing to incorporate essential aspects. The author found himself uniquely qualified to integrate them. His work in Bitcoin began with a hardware wallet. He spent a year analyzing threats, working with electronics design, hardware exploitation, and state surveillance experts. He chose the Libbitcoin software library, as Satoshi’s prototype was not factored for development and was largely financed by the Bitcoin Foundation, a corporate consortium. He later dedicated himself to Libbitcoin, eventually writing or editing all of its ~500,000 lines of code. Few have comparable experience with such a comprehensive Bitcoin stack. As a combat-experienced fighter pilot in the U.S. Navy he experienced state threats. He became a highly-qualified Strike Fighter Tactics Instructor, in which his primary role was tactics analysis and threat presentation. He also advised for the Navy on the Strike Fighter Training System network, Joint Strike Fighter, early GPS weapons, and F/A-18 systems. His understanding of the physical nature of all security was enhanced by decades of training in Japanese martial arts, achieving black belt rankings in five disciplines. His degree and experience in computer science mixed with extensive business experience, founding several companies. He has worked at IBM and as a Principle Architect at Microsoft, two of the world’s largest companies. The latter purchased his first startup, and his second was acquired by Veritas Capital. He was awarded three related U.S. patents. Eventually he became an angel investor, sharing his experience with other entrepreneurs. As CTO of his first company he published three computer security advisories via Computer Emergency Response Team. Each was derived entirely from his reading of user documentation. Later he earned a seat on the DHS Open Vulnerability Assessment Language advisory board for his work on software patching. In recent years he uncovered material security flaws in each of the first three iterations of a popular “secure element” hardware wallet, again from review of user documentation. Thirty years of self-study in free market economics was reinforced by extensive global travel. In visiting over 80 countries he has interacted with people on five continents. Still often traveling on a motorcycle with only a shoulder bag, he obtains intimate understanding of global economic realities. From Zimbabwean black market currency traders, to Tanzanian coffee pickers, Venezuelan refugees, Mongolian shepherds, Okinawan jazz musicians, Lao monks, etc. – the world is not as often presented. The ability to integrate these diverse and relevant experiences led to Cryptoeconomics. This is your next stop.

Economist Bryan Caplan makes a bold case for unrestricted immigration in this fact-filled graphic nonfiction. American policy-makers have long been locked in a heated battle over whether, how many, and what kind of immigrants to allow to live and work in the country. Those in favor of welcoming more immigrants often cite humanitarian reasons, while those in favor of more restrictive laws argue the need to protect native citizens. But economist Bryan Caplan adds a new, compelling perspective to the immigration debate: He argues that opening all borders could eliminate absolute poverty worldwide and usher in a booming worldwide economy―greatly benefiting humanity. With a clear and conversational tone, exhaustive research, and vibrant illustrations by Zach Weinersmith, Open Borders makes the case for unrestricted immigration easy to follow and hard to deny.

Delayed after school by the wicked assistant principal, Mister Tutten, Fifi and Roger must cut through Finney's Lot to reach Adams Playground before dark. Little do they know that the encrypted emerald block that trips up Fifi is the key to a playground far more fantastic than anything they could imagine, full of possibilities - and danger - for the future of all kids.

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS: Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year “[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” –Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink “The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade.” –Maggie Mahar, author of Bull! A History of the Boom, 1982—1999 “Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.” –Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving “Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould.” –Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate “We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.” –Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance “Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.” –National Review

The Sunday Times top ten bestseller. Edward Snowden, the man who risked everything to expose the US government’s system of mass surveillance, reveals for the first time the story of his life, including how he helped to build that system and what motivated him to try to bring it down. In 2013, twenty-nine-year-old Edward Snowden shocked the world when he broke with the American intelligence establishment and revealed that the United States government was secretly pursuing the means to collect every single phone call, text message, and email. The result would be an unprecedented system of mass surveillance with the ability to pry into the private lives of every person on earth. Here, Snowden reveals for the very first time how he helped to build this system and why he was moved to expose it. Spanning the bucolic Beltway suburbs of his childhood and the clandestine CIA and NSA postings of his adulthood, Permanent Record is the extraordinary account of a bright young man who grew up online – a man who became a spy, a whistleblower, and, in exile, the Internet’s conscience. Written with wit, grace, passion, and an unflinching candor, Permanent Record is a crucial memoir of our digital age. 'A riveting account . . . Reads like a literary thriller' - New York Times

Basado en las leyes naturales que gobiernan la creación, este libro destruye el mito de que el éxito es producto del trabajo duro, de unos planes precisos o de una ambición sin límites. Deepak Chopra nos ofrece la alternativa desde una perspectiva diferente: el conocimiento y aprendizaje de vivir en armonía con las leyes naturales traerá a nuestras vidas un caudal fluido de felicidad y abundancia. Las siete leyes espirituales del éxito es una obra que usted apreciará constantemente, ya que entre sus páginas podrá encontrar las claves que le permitirán obtener el éxito en todos los aspectos de su vida. Un libro de éxito que ha batido récords de ventas por los millones de lectores en todo el mundo que se han inspirado en su sencillez y sabiduría.

Humor y aventuras en esta nueva aventura de Mundodisco. Un mago moribundo cede su bastón -y por tanto su poder- a Eskarina, un recién nacido que, según los rituales admitidos, no puede ser mago sino bruja. Con el tiempo, el rito de iniciación se completa con un aprendizaje más formal en la Universidad Invisible, inefable centro de estudios esotéricos, donde el mago Simón hace gala de sus increíbles poderes. Juntos, Eskarina y Simón tendrán que hacer frente a una invasión de extrañas criaturas que amenazan con destruir el Mundodisco...

Cuarta novela de la hilarante saga del Mundodisco. En esta entrega, Mortimer es un joven soñador y despistado a quien le toca en suerte una inesperada tarea: convertirse en aprendiz de la Muerte y aplicarse en liberar almas de su envoltura carnal. A decir verdad, Mort no está demasiado capacitado para ello, y en una de sus primeras misiones, liberar el alma de una atractiva princesa que está a punto de ser asesinada, decide en su lugar «liberar» el alma del asesino, interfiriendo así en los designios del Destino y provocando el consiguiente desaguisado. Por su parte, la Muerte, habiendo delegado buena parte de su trabajo en Mort, se dedica a beber, jugar a los dados y embarcarse en enrevesadas reflexiones filosóficas...

El Dalai Lama nos ofrece el mensaje sereno de un hombre que ha conquistado la paz interior. En El arte de la felicidad el Dalai Lama nos ofrece el mensaje sereno de un hombre que ha conquistado la paz interior y sabe que la felicidad no es un don, sino un arte que exige voluntad y práctica. Lejos de las grandes teorías y muy cerca de las preocupaciones cotidianas de cada uno, de nuestros miedos y nuestros deseos, el maestro se ha servido de la ayuda de un psiquiatra occidental para entregarnos unas palabras que nos orienten en la vida diaria. Solo así seremos capaces de convertir el deber de vivir en el placer de sentirnos vivos en un mundo donde casi todo es posible, incluso la felicidad.